Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.