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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 24
Apr 14, 2024 at 10am UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
3 - 1
Nizhny Novgorod

Obukhov (2'), Adamov (51'), Marin (87')
Perez (14'), Florentin (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Boselli (43')
Maiga (70'), Nigmatullin (87')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Nizhny Novgorod.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orenburg 3-0 Rubin Kazan
Monday, April 8 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 Krasnodar
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawNizhny Novgorod
56.21% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 24.82% (-0.055 -0.05) 18.98% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.86% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.96% (0.143 0.14)56.04% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88% (0.116 0.12)77.12% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (0.093000000000004 0.09)19.89% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.99% (0.151 0.15)52.01% (-0.151 -0.15)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03)44.01% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.87% (0.027999999999999 0.03)80.13% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 56.2%
    Nizhny Novgorod 18.98%
    Draw 24.81%
OrenburgDrawNizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 14.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.15% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 56.2%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.75% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 18.98%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 9
Nizhny Novgorod
3-1
Orenburg
Correia (45'), Sevikyan (53'), Boselli (75')
Stamatov (56'), Aleksandrov (70'), Maiga (90+4')
Perez (28')
Kavalyow (73')
Apr 30, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 25
Orenburg
1-0
Nizhny Novgorod
Oganesyan (79')
Sep 18, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 10
Nizhny Novgorod
0-2
Orenburg
Ayupov (31'), Ektov (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC KrasnodarKrasnodar1511403272537
2Zenit St PetersburgZenit1511313372636
3Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv15111330181234
4Dynamo Moscow1593331171430
5Spartak Moscow1584325121328
6CSKA MoscowCSKA1583424101427
7Rubin Kazan155461722-519
8RostovRostov154562026-617
9Akron TolyattiAkron154471930-1116
10Nizhny Novgorod154381527-1215
11Dynamo MakhachkalaMakhachkala15366914-515
12Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov153391323-1012
13KhimkiKhimki152671628-1212
14Fakel152671023-1312
15Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny151681329-169
16OrenburgOrenburg151591630-148


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