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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 10, 2024 at 11am UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
1 - 0
Baltika

Marin (80')
Perez (16')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kaplenko (45+3')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Baltika.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CSKA 1-1 Orenburg
Saturday, March 2 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Baltika 0-0 Sochi
Sunday, March 3 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orenburg in this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawBaltika
51.96% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 25.18% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 22.86% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 49.02% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (-0.415 -0.41)53.28% (0.413 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (-0.353 -0.35)74.83% (0.35199999999999 0.35)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)20.51% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47% (-0.232 -0.23)53% (0.232 0.23)
Baltika Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (-0.349 -0.35)38.33% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (-0.335 -0.33)75.09% (0.333 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 51.95%
    Baltika 22.86%
    Draw 25.18%
OrenburgDrawBaltika
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.87% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.21% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 51.95%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 22.86%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Baltika
1-0
Orenburg
Guzina (23')
Bistrovic (83')

Vorobyev (27'), Perez (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC KrasnodarKrasnodar1511403272537
2Zenit St PetersburgZenit1511313372636
3Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv15111330181234
4Dynamo Moscow1593331171430
5Spartak Moscow1584325121328
6CSKA MoscowCSKA1583424101427
7Rubin Kazan155461722-519
8RostovRostov154562026-617
9Akron TolyattiAkron154471930-1116
10Nizhny Novgorod154381527-1215
11Dynamo MakhachkalaMakhachkala15366914-515
12Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov153391323-1012
13KhimkiKhimki152671628-1212
14Fakel152671023-1312
15Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny151681329-169
16OrenburgOrenburg151591630-148


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