Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orenburg in this match.

Result
Orenburg	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
58.23% ( 0.21)	21.89% ( -0.03)	19.88% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 55.14% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.92% (

-0.11)

43.09% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.52% (

-0.11)

65.49% (

0.12)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5% (

0.03)

14.51% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.49% (

0.06)

42.51% (

-0.05)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.49% (

-0.25)

35.51% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.73% (

-0.26)

72.27% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Orenburg 58.23%

Nizhny Novgorod 19.88%

Draw 21.89%

Orenburg	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 58.23%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.89%	0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.88%