Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
