Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 74.54%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 10.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 3-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.