Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.