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Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Jun 13, 2021 at 8pm UK
Mineirão
Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 0
Sao Paulo

Jair (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alves (41')

Preview: Atletico Mineiro vs. Sao Paulo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sao Paulo travel to Belo Horizonte this Sunday for their heavyweight Brasileiro clash against Atletico Mineiro at the Mineirao.

The Brazilian national side kicking off their Copa America title defence may well syphon interest away from this tie, but fans of these two sides could still be in for a real treat.


Match preview

Atletico Mineiro coach Cuca during the match on May 19, 2021© Reuters

Atletico Mineiro finished the last campaign in third place, just two points above their opposition this weekend, and new boss Cuca will be looking to do even better this season.

However, it has been a mixed bag so far for Atletico, who picked up their first points of the campaign last time out after losing their opening fixture to Fortaleza.

Galo beat Sport Recife 1-0, with Hulk scoring with his side's only shot on target.

As talented as he is, Hulk is currently the only Galo player who has found the back of the net in the league this season, and Cuca will expect more from his attackers as the season goes on.

Sao Paulo's Luis Orejuela celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on May 12, 2021© Reuters

After a solid Brasileiro campaign last season, Sao Paulo have started this season poorly, with just one point taken from their opening two games.

Currently 15th in the table, Sao Paulo were beaten 2-0 by Atletico Goianiense last weekend, meaning that Tricolor Paulista have not yet scored a goal this season.

Head coach Hernan Crespo, who made the move from Argentina's Defensa y Justicia, will be looking for more from his side if he is to build his reputation during his stint in Brazil.

With games against Chapecoense and Santos on the horizon, Sao Paulo will need to grind out results against tough opposition in order to work their way up the table.

Atletico Mineiro Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W

Atletico Mineiro form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Sao Paulo Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • L

Sao Paulo form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Sao Paulo's Dani Alves walks off the pitch after sustaining an injury ON MAY 5, 2021© Reuters

Galo will be without a number of important players ahead of this tie, and Cuca could ring the changes as a result of that.

Guga and Guilherme Arana are both away on international duty, while Rafael is out with a shoulder injury.

Sao Paulo will be without Igor Liziero who is away on international duty.

Other absentees for Crespo include Luan Santos, Martin Benitez, Dani Alves and Walce.

Atletico Mineiro possible starting lineup:
Everson; Mariano, Rabello, Rever, Dodo; Zaracho, Tche Tche, Allan, Fernandez, Hyoran; Hulk

Sao Paulo possible starting lineup:
Volpi; B Alves, Miranda, Leo; Vinicius, Shaylon, Nestor, Sara, Reinaldo; Rojas, Luciano


SM words green background

We say: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Sao Paulo

This is a very difficult-to-call clash between two well-matched sides, and due to the poor form that both teams are in, we do not expect a lot from this one. We are going for a 1-1 stalemate.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
76.5%
Draw
23.5%
Sao Paulo
0.0%
17
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo28176546252157
2PalmeirasPalmeiras28175646202656
3FortalezaFortaleza27157536261052
4FlamengoFlamengo26136742321045
5Sao Paulo2713593529644
6Bahia2712693831742
7Cruzeiro2712693427742
8InternacionalInternacional2611963223942
9Atletico Mineiro269983638-236
10Vasco da GamaVasco26105113036-635
11BragantinoBragantino2889113438-433
12JuventudeJuventude2889113238-633
13Gremio2795132934-532
14CriciumaCriciuma2788113441-732
15Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2587102729-231
16Vitoria2784152939-1028
17Corinthians27610112633-728
18Fluminense2676132129-827
19Cuiaba2658132338-1523
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2746172145-2418


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