Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 10

Oct 21, 2023 at 4pm UK

Mrsool Park

Al-Nassr
2 - 1
Damac

Talisca (52'), Ronaldo (56')
Alkhaibari (10'), Boushal (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

N'Koudou (45+2')
Contra (11'), Hamed (50'), Ceesay (60')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Damac, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Saudi Pro League

Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-2 Abha
Friday, October 6 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Damac

All competitions

Last Game: Damac 4-1 Al Hazem
Thursday, October 5 at 1pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

While the visitors are enjoying an uptick in form, Al Nassr are scoring for fun lately, and the international break would have done them a world of good after a demanding few weeks. We are backing the hosts to win this one fairly comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Damac had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Damac win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Damac
74.15% ( 0.03)	15.72% ( -0.02)	10.13% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.52% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.76% (

0.03)

35.24% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.74% (

0.03)

57.25% (

-0.04)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.89% (

0.01)

8.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.53% (

0.03)

28.47% (

-0.04)

Damac Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.06% (

-0)

43.93% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.93% (

-0)

80.07% (

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 74.14%

Damac 10.13%

Draw 15.72%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Damac
2-0 @ 11.24% 3-0 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.18% 5-0 @ 2.97% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 74.14%	1-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 15.72%	1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 10.13%