Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Mrsool Park
Al-Nassr2 - 1Damac
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-2 Abha
Friday, October 6 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Friday, October 6 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 4-1 Al Hazem
Thursday, October 5 at 1pm in Saudi Pro League
Thursday, October 5 at 1pm in Saudi Pro League
We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Damac
While the visitors are enjoying an uptick in form, Al Nassr are scoring for fun lately, and the international break would have done them a world of good after a demanding few weeks. We are backing the hosts to win this one fairly comfortably. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Damac had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Damac win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
Result | ||
Al-Nassr | Draw | Damac |
74.15% ( 0.03) | 15.72% ( -0.02) | 10.13% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.52% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.76% ( 0.03) | 35.24% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.74% ( 0.03) | 57.25% ( -0.04) |
Al-Nassr Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.89% ( 0.01) | 8.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.53% ( 0.03) | 28.47% ( -0.04) |
Damac Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.06% ( -0) | 43.93% ( 0) |