While Al-Hilal have experienced an unusual dip in form since the November international break, their record at home is still incredible and they have not lost to this opponent in almost a decade.
Additionally, Al Raed's away form this season does little to inspire confidence in their chances of pulling off an upset here, so we are going for the hosts to secure a fairly comfortable victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 88.07%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 3.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 4-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.91%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (1.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
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