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AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals
Oct 16, 2021 at 4pm UK
Al-Nahyan Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al Wahda
1 - 5
Al-Nassr

Matar (90+3')
Pedro (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hamdallah (7'), Masharipov (52', 65'), Asiri (56'), Al Naji (75')
Qassem (32'), Talisca (44'), Al Naji (86'), Alkhaibari (90+1')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Al Wahda and Al-Nassr.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Al WahdaDrawAl-Nassr
37.77%28.86%33.36%
Both teams to score 45.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.52%61.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.65%81.35%
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61%31.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24%67.75%
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72%34.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.02%70.97%
Score Analysis
    Al Wahda 37.77%
    Al-Nassr 33.36%
    Draw 28.85%
Al WahdaDrawAl-Nassr
1-0 @ 12.46%
2-1 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 7.22%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 37.77%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 11.51%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 6.17%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.36%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2019 4.40pm
Round of 16
Al Wahda
2-3
Al-Nassr
Al Menhali (27'), Tagliabue (79')
Matar (40'), Leonardo (83')
Hamdallah (41'), Giuliano (45', 62')
Al Khaibari (47'), Jones (56'), Al Mansour (69'), Al Ghuwainem (74'), Hawsawi (83'), Al Obaid (86')
rhs 2.0
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