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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
4 - 2
Abha

Benzema (38' pen., 67', 69'), Coronado (54')
Kadesh (65'), Al-Sahafi (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Toko Ekambi (51'), Al-Jumayah (85')
Natiq (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Abha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Abha 3-2 Al Okhdood
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-1 Abha

While a run of five wins in their last five games against Abha should give a floundering Al-Ittihad side the needed confidence boost heading into the weekend, they should expect a fight from the visitors, who have hit their stride after a slow start to the season. However, the Tigers boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to come out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 78.33%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAbha
78.33% (-0.50999999999999 -0.51) 14.06% (0.26 0.26) 7.61% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 46.23% (0.3 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.95% (-0.311 -0.31)36.04% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.85% (-0.343 -0.34)58.15% (0.341 0.34)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.6% (-0.175 -0.17)7.4% (0.1731 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.32% (-0.45700000000001 -0.46)26.67% (0.454 0.45)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.93% (0.416 0.42)50.07% (-0.42 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.29% (0.286 0.29)84.71% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 78.33%
    Abha 7.61%
    Draw 14.06%
Al IttihadDrawAbha
2-0 @ 12.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 10.9% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 7.09% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.69% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 78.33%
1-1 @ 6.68% (0.122 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.01% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 14.06%
0-1 @ 2.56% (0.069 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.31% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 7.61%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Abha

Al Ittihad
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Abha
0.0%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal18151257174046
2Al Ittihad18151244172746
3Al-Nassr18115237172038
4Al Quadisiya18122427131438
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli18112532151735
6Al ShababAl Shabab189272621529
7Al Riyadh188462125-428
8Al Khaleej188372524127
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun186661816224
10Damac186482630-422
11Al Ettifaq186482228-622
12Al Kholood185492433-919
13Al Fayha183781427-1316
14Al Okhdood1843112130-915
15Al RaedAl Raed1842122132-1114
16Al Orubah1842121137-2614
17Al WahdaAl Wahda1834112242-2013
18Al Fateh1824121640-2410


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