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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
4 - 2
Abha

Benzema (38' pen., 67', 69'), Coronado (54')
Kadesh (65'), Al-Sahafi (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Toko Ekambi (51'), Al-Jumayah (85')
Natiq (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Abha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Abha 3-2 Al Okhdood
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-1 Abha

While a run of five wins in their last five games against Abha should give a floundering Al-Ittihad side the needed confidence boost heading into the weekend, they should expect a fight from the visitors, who have hit their stride after a slow start to the season. However, the Tigers boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to come out on top once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 78.33%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 7.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAbha
78.33% (-0.50999999999999 -0.51) 14.06% (0.26 0.26) 7.61% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 46.23% (0.3 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.95% (-0.311 -0.31)36.04% (0.309 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.85% (-0.343 -0.34)58.15% (0.341 0.34)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.6% (-0.175 -0.17)7.4% (0.1731 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.32% (-0.45700000000001 -0.46)26.67% (0.454 0.45)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.93% (0.416 0.42)50.07% (-0.42 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.29% (0.286 0.29)84.71% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 78.33%
    Abha 7.61%
    Draw 14.06%
Al IttihadDrawAbha
2-0 @ 12.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 10.9% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 7.09% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.91% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.69% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 78.33%
1-1 @ 6.68% (0.122 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.01% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 14.06%
0-1 @ 2.56% (0.069 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.31% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 7.61%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Abha

Al Ittihad
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Abha
0.0%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad25194259243561
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal25183472284457
3Al-Nassr25156453272651
4Al Quadisiya25163637211651
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli25153748252348
6Al ShababAl Shabab25134847301743
7Al Ettifaq25105103236-435
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun259792724334
9Al Riyadh2596102735-833
10Al Kholood2594123447-1331
11Al Khaleej2586113037-730
12Damac2576123041-1127
13Al Orubah2582152250-2826
14Al Fayha25510101832-1425
15Al Fateh2564152749-2222
16Al Okhdood2555152540-1520
17Al WahdaAl Wahda2555153054-2420
18Al RaedAl Raed2553172846-1818


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