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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
2 - 2
Al Hazem

Benzema (26'), Kadesh (81')
Al-Farhan (49'), Al-Ghamdi (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Al-Thani (63'), Selemani (86')
Abusabaan (58'), Viana (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Hazem, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ittihad 1-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Monday, October 23 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Hazem 4-3 Al Raed
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 3-1 Al Hazem

While the visitors did manage to claim their first league win last week, they face a major step up in class in this match and are likely to struggle to take anything off the defending champions. Al Hazem have shipped eight goals in their last two away matches, and we feel they may concede a few more here as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Hazem
63.35% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 21.44% (0.0030000000000001 0) 15.21%
Both teams to score 47.34% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)48.79% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)14.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)43.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.54% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)44.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.5% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)80.5% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 63.33%
    Al Hazem 15.21%
    Draw 21.44%
Al IttihadDrawAl Hazem
1-0 @ 12.55%
2-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 63.33%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.44%
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.13%
0-2 @ 2.16%
1-3 @ 1.12%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 15.21%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Hazem

Al Ittihad
Draw
Al Hazem
Al Ittihad
100%
Draw
0.0%
Al Hazem
0.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad29215366303668
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal29195579344562
3Al-Nassr29186562332960
4Al-AhliAl-Ahli29184760293158
5Al Quadisiya29175742261656
6Al ShababAl Shabab29156854332151
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun29118103430441
8Al Ettifaq29117113741-440
9Al Riyadh2998123040-1035
10Al Khaleej2997133447-1334
11Damac2987143546-1131
12Al Kholood2994163555-2031
13Al Fateh2986153753-1630
14Al Fayha29612112341-1830
15Al Okhdood2977152841-1328
16Al Orubah2983182459-3527
17Al WahdaAl Wahda2975173660-2426
18Al RaedAl Raed2963203654-1821


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