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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
2 - 2
Al Hazem

Benzema (26'), Kadesh (81')
Al-Farhan (49'), Al-Ghamdi (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Al-Thani (63'), Selemani (86')
Abusabaan (58'), Viana (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Hazem, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ittihad 1-0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Monday, October 23 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Hazem 4-3 Al Raed
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 3-1 Al Hazem

While the visitors did manage to claim their first league win last week, they face a major step up in class in this match and are likely to struggle to take anything off the defending champions. Al Hazem have shipped eight goals in their last two away matches, and we feel they may concede a few more here as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Hazem
63.35% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 21.44% (0.0030000000000001 0) 15.21%
Both teams to score 47.34% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)48.79% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)14.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)43.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.54% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)44.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.5% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)80.5% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 63.33%
    Al Hazem 15.21%
    Draw 21.44%
Al IttihadDrawAl Hazem
1-0 @ 12.55%
2-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 63.33%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 21.44%
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.13%
0-2 @ 2.16%
1-3 @ 1.12%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 15.21%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Hazem

Al Ittihad
100%
Draw
0.0%
Al Hazem
0.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr1164122101222
4Al ShababAl Shabab11713157822
5Al Quadisiya11713158722
6Al-AhliAl-Ahli11524159617
7Al Khaleej105141212016
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood112361215-39
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha11146720-137
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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