Buoyed by their victory last time out, Al Shabab will head into this one full of confidence, and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we can see the hosts emerging victorious, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.

Result
Al Shabab	Draw	Al Hazem
51.73% ( 0.05)	25.19% ( -0.01)	23.08% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.26% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.91% (

0.01)

53.09% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.33% (

0.01)

74.67% (

-0.01)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

0.03)

20.53% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

0.04)

53.03% (

-0.04)

Al Hazem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.99% (

-0.03)

38.02% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.22% (

-0.02)

74.78% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Al Shabab 51.72%

Al Hazem 23.08%

Draw 25.19%

Al Shabab	Draw	Al Hazem
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 51.72%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 23.08%