Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.