Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5

Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK

Palmerston Park

QotS
2 - 0
Alloa

Dobbie (38'), McKee (46')
Pybus (57'), Shields (63'), Fitzpatrick (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Robertson (39'), Hetherington (86')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Gregor Buchanan and Joe McKee earned an overdue victory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.

Result
Queen of the South	Draw	Alloa Athletic
51.12%	23.22%	25.66%

Both teams to score 58.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.53%

42.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.12%

64.88%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.3%

16.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.41%

46.59%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.98%

30.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.86%

66.14%

Score Analysis

Queen of the South 51.12%

Alloa Athletic 25.66%

Draw 23.21%

Queen of the South	Draw	Alloa Athletic
2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.12%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.21%	1-2 @ 6.5% 0-1 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.1% Total : 25.66%