Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 54.14%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.