Scottish Championship | Gameweek 17

Feb 20, 2021 at 3pm UK

East End Park

Dunfermline
2 - 1
Alloa

Wighton (14', 59')
McManus (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cawley (44')

The Match

Match Report

Kevin Cawley had levelled for the visitors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 72.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 10.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Alloa Athletic
72.22%	17.29%	10.49%

Both teams to score 46.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.19%

41.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.79%

64.21%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.8%

10.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.51%

33.49%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.3%

47.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.99%

83.01%

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 72.21%

Alloa Athletic 10.49%

Draw 17.29%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Alloa Athletic
2-0 @ 12.67% 1-0 @ 11.1% 3-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 9.39% 3-1 @ 7.14% 4-0 @ 5.51% 4-1 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-0 @ 2.51% 5-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.51% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.2% Total : 72.21%	1-1 @ 8.22% 0-0 @ 4.87% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.73% Total : 17.29%	0-1 @ 3.6% 1-2 @ 3.04% 0-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.51% Total : 10.49%