Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.