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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 18
Feb 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Arbroath

Ayr
0 - 1
Arbroath


Ndaba (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McKenna (63')
Hamilton (75')

The Match

Match Report

Derek Gaston produced a double save to keep out Tom Walsh and Dario Zanatta.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawArbroath
44.22%26.5%29.28%
Both teams to score 50.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.01%53.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.57%75.43%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71%24.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34%58.65%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71%33.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.09%69.91%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 44.21%
    Arbroath 29.28%
    Draw 26.5%
Ayr UnitedDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 11.44%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.21%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.28%

Head to Head
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Arbroath
2-1
Ayr
Craigen (36', 38')
Virtanen (58'), Thomson (67'), McKenna (86'), Hamilton (90+4')
Baird (88')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Ayr
P-P
Arbroath
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Arbroath
P-P
Ayr
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Ayr
1-1
Arbroath
Kelly (22')
Moore (77')
McKenna (48' pen.)
Donnelly (78'), Stewart (82')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Arbroath
0-3
Ayr

McKenna (33')
Forrest (12', 20'), Kerr (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk1511222891935
2Livingston148511910929
3Ayr UnitedAyr147432214825
4Partick ThistlePartick14653179823
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park156451616022
6Raith Rovers144371318-515
7Hamilton AcademicalHamilton144371925-615
8Greenock MortonMorton143561119-814
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline143381115-412
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians141211627-215


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