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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
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Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Arbroath
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 15
Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Arbroath
2 - 0
Dunfermline

O'Brien (27'), Hilson (36')
Craigen (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Watson (86')

The Match

Match Report

Captain Thomas O'Brien also scored for the Red Lichties.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawDunfermline Athletic
42.52%26.42%31.06%
Both teams to score 51.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.04%52.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.44%74.56%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33%24.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81%59.2%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53%31.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15%67.85%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 42.52%
    Dunfermline Athletic 31.06%
    Draw 26.42%
ArbroathDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.76%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.98%
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.06%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Dunfermline
1-0
Arbroath
O'Hara (90+1')
Dow (24'), McManus (76')

Little (22'), O'Brien (80'), Thomson (90')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Second Round
Arbroath
1-3
Dunfermline
Hilson (65')
Ruth (56'), Little (82')
Dow (28'), Murray (36'), O'Hara (82' pen.)
McManus (63')
Apr 11, 2020 3pm
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Arbroath
0-0
Dunfermline
Little (70')
Thomas (16'), Afolabi (90')
Oct 29, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Dunfermline
2-0
Arbroath
Nisbet (59', 78')
Ashcroft (22')

O'Brien (22'), Virtanen (33'), Thomson (74'), McKenna (84')
rhs 2.0
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