Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.