Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.