Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 70.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 11.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.