MX23RW : Monday, December 23 12:23:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Hamilton logo
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Hope CBD Stadium
Falkirk

Hamilton
1 - 3
Falkirk

Henderson (47')
Longridge (25'), Maguire (32'), Tumilty (51'), Kilday (69'), Williamson (70'), Martin (76'), Smith (80')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Maguire (5' og.), Miller (29'), Spencer (34')
Nesbitt (75'), Spencer (76'), Shanley (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Championship clash between Hamilton Academical and Falkirk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamilton 0-1 Morton
Friday, October 11 at 7.40pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Partick 1-1 Falkirk
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

We said: Hamilton Academical 0-2 Falkirk

While Hamilton have had a decent start to their 2024-25 season, Falkirk have enjoyed a brilliant beginning to their campaign, sitting top of the table after nine games, leading us to believe the visitors will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawFalkirk
28.32% (-0.153 -0.15) 23.73% (0.044 0.04) 47.95% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 58.88% (-0.264 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)42.75% (0.302 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.84% (-0.296 -0.3)65.16% (0.3 0.3)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)28.19% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (-0.331 -0.33)63.89% (0.335 0.34)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)18% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.13% (-0.123 -0.12)48.87% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 28.32%
    Falkirk 47.95%
    Draw 23.72%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawFalkirk
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.43% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 28.32%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.46% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.26% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 47.95%

How you voted: Hamilton vs Falkirk

Hamilton Academical
25.0%
Draw
3.1%
Falkirk
71.9%
32
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hamilton
0-2
Falkirk

Williamson (27'), McGowan (84')
Maciver (50'), Nesbitt (87')
Spencer (46'), Tait (51')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Falkirk
3-2
Hamilton
Morrison (15'), Maciver (23'), Miller (27')
Rose (32', 57')
Davidson (20'), McGowan (49'), MacDonald (90+3')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Hamilton
1-3
Falkirk
Smith (28')
McGowan (21'), Smith (78')
Morrison (23' pen., 79'), Miller (32')
Lang (5'), Spencer (66'), Yeats (79'), McCann (90')
Oct 7, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Falkirk
0-0
Hamilton
Henderson (17')
Tait (59'), McGowan (76'), O'Hara (90+2')
Jul 17, 2021 3pm
Group Stage
Falkirk
1-2
Hamilton
Nesbitt (46')
Miller (78')
Hughes (80' pen.), Hamilton (87')
Spence (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk18132334142041
2Livingston18106224111336
3Ayr UnitedAyr18104429171234
4Partick ThistlePartick178542011929
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park187472020025
6Raith Rovers176381722-521
7Greenock MortonMorton174761521-619
8Hamilton AcademicalHamilton175392330-718
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline1843111422-815
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians181314836-286


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!