Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Falkirk |
28.32% ( -0.15) | 23.73% ( 0.04) | 47.95% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 58.88% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.25% ( -0.3) | 42.75% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.84% ( -0.3) | 65.16% ( 0.3) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% ( -0.26) | 28.19% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% ( -0.33) | 63.89% ( 0.34) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82% ( -0.07) | 18% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.13% ( -0.12) | 48.87% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Falkirk |
2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.32% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 47.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |