Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
35.83% ( 0.05) | 25.9% ( -0) | 38.27% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.55% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.24% ( 0.02) | 49.76% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.24% ( 0.02) | 71.76% ( -0.02) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% ( 0.04) | 26.83% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.87% ( 0.05) | 62.13% ( -0.05) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.55% ( -0.02) | 25.45% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.72% ( -0.02) | 60.28% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.83% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |