Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.