Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.