Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.