Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.