Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.