Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.