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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 4
Sep 7, 2021 at 6pm UK
Somerset Park
Raith Rovers

Ayr
0 - 2
Raith Rovers


Muirhead (70')
Afolabi (75'), Muirhead (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Varian (14'), Zanatta (25')
Zanatta (15'), Riley-Snow (31')
Riley-Snow (79')

The Match

Match Report

Jonathan Afolabi and Aaron Muirhead were both sent off along with Rovers' Blaise Riley-Snow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawRaith Rovers
30.55%29.29%40.16%
Both teams to score 43.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.61%63.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.25%82.74%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.63%37.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85%74.15%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09%30.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8%67.2%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 30.54%
    Raith Rovers 40.16%
    Draw 29.27%
Ayr UnitedDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 6.57%
2-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 30.54%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 11.54%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.27%
0-1 @ 13.56%
0-2 @ 7.96%
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-3 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 40.16%

How you voted: Ayr vs Raith Rovers

Ayr United
62.5%
Draw
37.5%
Raith Rovers
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Ayr
1-1
Raith Rovers
Muirhead (72')
Chalmers (29'), Houston (68'), Murdoch (77'), Smith (85')
Benedictus (57')
Musonda (36'), Matthews (48')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 16
Raith Rovers
0-0
Ayr
Tait (81'), (81'), Davidson (90+2')
Reading (73')
Dec 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Ayr
0-0
Raith Rovers
Miller (27'), Roscoe (83'), Zanatta (90+1')
Hendry (32'), Matthews (50')
Mar 10, 2018 3pm
Ayr
3-0
Raith Rovers
Shankland (34'), Adams (43'), Moffat (53')
Adams (27'), Shankland (85')

McHattie (34'), Benedictus (68'), Furtado (71'), Matthews (80')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Raith Rovers
1-1
Ayr
Spence (47')
Murray (53')
Shankland (34')
Adams (12'), Reid (52'), Moffat (66'), Bell (71'), Boyle (77'), Moore (90')
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