Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Ayr3 - 1Dunfermline
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 43.74% | 26.32% | 29.93% |
| Both teams to score 51.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
