Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Greenock Morton |
40.55% | 25.49% | 33.97% |
Both teams to score 55.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.78% | 48.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.62% | 70.37% |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.43% | 23.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.37% | 57.63% |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.79% | 27.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.37% | 62.63% |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 9.27% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.35% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |