Scottish Championship | Gameweek 13

Jan 16, 2021 at 3pm UK

Palmerston Park

QotS
2 - 2
Arbroath

Shields (46', 52')
McKee (38'), Pybus (47'), Breen (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stewart (63'), O'Brien (65')
Thomson (40'), O'Brien (83')

The Match

Match Report

Arbroath remain rooted to the bottom of the Scottish Championship table despite earning a point.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Queen of the South	Draw	Arbroath
49.32%	24.57%	26.12%

Both teams to score 54.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.97%

48.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.8%

70.2%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.49%

19.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.6%

51.4%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.4%

32.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.85%

69.15%

Score Analysis

Queen of the South 49.31%

Arbroath 26.12%

Draw 24.57%

Queen of the South	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 5.19% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.31%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 7.13% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.54% Total : 26.12%