Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
50.36% ( 0.16) | 23.95% ( -0.04) | 25.69% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.87% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.3% ( 0.1) | 45.69% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.98% ( 0.09) | 68.01% ( -0.09) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.8% ( 0.1) | 18.19% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.8% ( 0.17) | 49.19% ( -0.17) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.29% ( -0.04) | 31.7% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.87% ( -0.05) | 68.12% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 25.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 18 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Livingston | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
5 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
6 | Partick ThistlePartick | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 4 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |