Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
37.07% (![]() | 27% (![]() | 35.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.62% (![]() | 54.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.24% (![]() | 75.76% (![]() |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.69% (![]() | 28.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.96% (![]() | 64.03% (![]() |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71% (![]() | 29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.1% (![]() | 64.89% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 10.35% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.09% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 37.06% | 1-1 @ 12.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.96% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.16% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 60 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 54 |
3 | Livingston | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 54 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 38 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 34 |
7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 33 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 27 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 20 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |