Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
48.88% ( -0.54) | 23.05% ( 0.06) | 28.07% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 61.11% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.27% ( 0.07) | 39.73% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.91% ( 0.07) | 62.08% ( -0.07) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.5% ( -0.17) | 16.5% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.76% ( -0.31) | 46.23% ( 0.3) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% ( 0.36) | 26.81% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.89% ( 0.48) | 62.11% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |