Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Arbroath |
34.66% ( -2.37) | 25.79% ( -0.21) | 39.55% ( 2.57) |
Both teams to score 54.77% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.59% ( 0.72) | 49.4% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.55% ( 0.64) | 71.45% ( -0.64) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.64% ( -1.05) | 27.36% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.18% ( -1.37) | 62.82% ( 1.38) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% ( 1.74) | 24.61% ( -1.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% ( 2.38) | 59.11% ( -2.38) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.35) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.35) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |