Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Recreation Park

Darvel
1 - 0
Aberdeen

Kirkpatrick (19')
McGowan (22'), Truesdale (32'), Kirkpatrick (49'), Stirling (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarkson (42'), Besuijen (90'), Miovski (90+1'), Scales (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Darvel and Aberdeen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Last Game: Hearts 5-0 Aberdeen
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 74.13%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Darvel had a probability of 11.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.88%), while for a Darvel win it was 2-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Darvel	Draw	Aberdeen
11.47% ( -1.65)	14.4% ( -0.64)	74.13% ( 2.29)

Both teams to score 62.89% (

-3.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76% (

-1.26)

24% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.4% (

-1.69)

43.6% (

1.69)

Darvel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.59% (

-3.28)

33.41% (

3.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.96% (

-3.77)

70.04% (

3.77)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.44% (

0.09)

5.55% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.39% (

0.26)

21.61% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Darvel 11.47%

Aberdeen 74.13%

Draw 14.4%

Darvel	Draw	Aberdeen
2-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.21% Total : 11.47%	1-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.37% Total : 14.4%	1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 8.19% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.73) 0-3 @ 7.47% ( 0.74) 1-4 @ 5.92% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 5.4% ( 0.56) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.36) 1-5 @ 3.42% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 3.24% ( -0.24) 0-5 @ 3.12% ( 0.34) 2-5 @ 1.88% ( -0.13) 1-6 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 0-6 @ 1.5% ( 0.17) 3-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.21) 2-6 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.14% Total : 74.13%