Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle
Hearts5 - 0Aberdeen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hearts 1-0 St Mirren
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-1 Aberdeen (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, January 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Sunday, January 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
We said: Hearts 2-1 Aberdeen
Having avoided defeat in each of their past seven games, Hearts will be confident of overcoming Aberdeen, who look set to struggle without Stewart following last weekend's League Cup exit. If the recent scoring trends of Hearts and Aberdeen are anything to go by, both teams should find the net on Wednesday, but the hosts have more than enough quality to outscore the visitors at Tynecastle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.86%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
49.86% ( 0.08) | 23.19% ( -0.02) | 26.95% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.76% ( 0.06) | 41.23% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.37% ( 0.06) | 63.63% ( -0.06) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( 0.05) | 16.7% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.4% ( 0.09) | 46.59% ( -0.09) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% ( -0.01) | 28.38% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.87% ( -0.01) | 64.13% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Hearts 49.86%
Aberdeen 26.95%
Draw 23.18%
| Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 49.86% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 26.95% |
How you voted: Hearts vs Aberdeen
Hearts
86.8%Draw
11.3%Aberdeen
1.9%53
Form Guide
