Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 24, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
St Mirren Park
St Mirren3 - 1Aberdeen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Mirren 1-1 Rangers
Saturday, November 12 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, November 12 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 Rangers
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: St Mirren 1-2 Aberdeen
In a match with consequences in the battle for Europe, we expect both sides to create plenty of chances in a closely fought encounter in Paisley. On this occasion, Aberdeen will do enough to seal the three points and strengthen their hold on third heading into Christmas. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
35.04% ( 0.38) | 28.25% ( 0.03) | 36.71% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.82% ( -0.1) | 59.18% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.39% ( -0.08) | 79.6% ( 0.08) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( 0.2) | 31.95% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.6% ( 0.23) | 68.4% ( -0.23) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% ( -0.31) | 30.88% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.83% ( -0.36) | 67.17% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
St Mirren 35.03%
Aberdeen 36.71%
Draw 28.24%
| St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.71% |
How you voted: St Mirren vs Aberdeen
St Mirren
29.4%Draw
14.7%Aberdeen
55.9%34
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 12pm
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
