Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Borough Briggs
Elgin0 - 3Aberdeen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Forfar 1-1 Elgin
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Rangers 3-0 Aberdeen
Wednesday, January 15 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, January 15 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Goals
for
for
32
We said: Elgin City 0-2 Aberdeen
The Dons may be enduring a challenging period, but they are undoubtedly the favourites to secure the victory given they compete several tiers higher than Elgin City, and for that reason, we believe the visitors will win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Aberdeen |
23.25% ( -0.08) | 21.93% ( -0.01) | 54.82% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.08% ( -0.05) | 38.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.76% ( -0.06) | 61.24% ( 0.06) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% ( -0.1) | 30.03% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.84% ( -0.12) | 66.16% ( 0.12) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.81% ( 0.01) | 14.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.11% ( 0.02) | 41.89% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Elgin City 23.25%
Aberdeen 54.82%
Draw 21.92%
| Elgin City | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.13% 2-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 23.25% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.11% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.82% |
How you voted: Elgin vs Aberdeen
Elgin City
40.0%Draw
0.0%Aberdeen
60.0%5
