MX23RW : Monday, March 10 23:14:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Potential new football header

Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Aberdeen logo

Kilmarnock
4 - 0
Aberdeen

Vassell (18'), Watson (59'), Cameron (87'), Anderson (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Heltne Nilsen (46'), Palaversa (62'), Rubezic (63'), J (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen

All competitions
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-3 Hibernian
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Aberdeen

 After an incredible start to the season, Aberdeen have now gone six matches without victory and are missing their first-team goalkeeper and top-scorer due to injury. Kilmarnock, meanwhile, are a long way from the type of form we saw last season, currently the second-lowest-scoring team in the top flight. This is a match that both sides will likely feel they can win, but given their current form and recent league records, we feel there will be nothing to split them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawAberdeen
37.89% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 26.84% (-0.012 -0.01) 35.27% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (0.052 0.05)53.76% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (0.044 0.04)75.24% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)27.53% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)63.04% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (0.090000000000003 0.09)29.1% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (0.11199999999999 0.11)65.02% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 37.89%
    Aberdeen 35.27%
    Draw 26.83%
KilmarnockDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.89%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.27%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen

Kilmarnock
42.9%
Draw
35.7%
Aberdeen
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Aberdeen
2-0
Kilmarnock
Gueye (23', 65')
McGrath (67'), Palaversa (90+2'), Rubezic (90+3')

Lyons (54')
> Preview
Mar 9, 2024 12.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Aberdeen
3-1
Kilmarnock
McGrath (11'), Shinnie (33'), Findlay (66' og.)
MacKenzie (46'), McGrath (70'), Shinnie (90')
Armstrong (41')
Armstrong (62'), Wright (62')
> Preview
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Kilmarnock
2-0
Aberdeen
Ndaba (45+5'), Kennedy (58')
Armstrong (77')

Warnock (0')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Aberdeen
0-1
Kilmarnock

Shinnie (45'), Hayes (65'), Gartenmann (82')
Watson (90+2')
McKenzie (86')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
2-0
Aberdeen
Vassell (45+5'), Watkins (64')
Lyons (85')

Gartenmann (45+1'), Shinnie (45+3'), Sokler (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic29243287177075
2RangersRangers29185659263359
3Hibernian29111084440443
4Aberdeen29126113846-842
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd29118103636041
6Motherwell29114143448-1437
7Hearts29106134140136
8Ross County2998123149-1835
9St Mirren29104153547-1234
10Kilmarnock2987143347-1431
11Dundee2977154161-2028
12St Johnstone2974183254-2225
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!