Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Apr 16, 2021 at 6pm UK

The SMISA Stadium

St Mirren
2 - 1
Inverness

Dennis (50'), Fraser (89')
Dennis (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Todorov (48')
Deas (90+1')

Jim Goodwin expresses relief as St Mirren progress in cup

Marcus Fraser's goal in the 89th minute settled a compelling tie.

Apr 16, 21:58

The Match

Match Report

Their reward is a tie with the winner of Saturday's match between Kilmarnock or Montrose, with a place in the semi-finals at stake.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Cup clash between St Mirren and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
41.29%	26.22%	32.49%

Both teams to score 52.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.29%

51.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.52%

73.48%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.26%

24.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.71%

59.29%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.14%

29.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.04%

65.95%

Score Analysis

St Mirren 41.28%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 32.49%

Draw 26.22%

St Mirren	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.28%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.49%