Scottish Championship | Gameweek 23

Apr 6, 2021 at 7pm UK

Cappielow Park, Sinclair Street, Greenock

Morton
1 - 4
Inverness

Muirhead (61')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Allardice (38'), Todorov (40', 71'), Mackay (80')

The Match

Match Report

Quickfire goals from Scott Allardice and Nikolay Todorov saw Caley Thistle lead 2-0 at the interval.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
28.68%	25.47%	45.85%

Both teams to score 53.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.85%

50.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.88%

72.12%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.26%

31.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.83%

68.17%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.13%

21.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.9%

55.1%

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 28.68%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 45.85%

Draw 25.47%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 7.96% 2-1 @ 6.95% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.68%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-2 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 4.66% 0-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.85%