Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 55.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.