Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.