Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.