Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.66%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.