Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.